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Thread: 2018 US Mid-term elections - Rolling updates

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    Moderator NYCKY's Avatar
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    Default 2018 US Mid-term elections - Rolling updates

    Polling day in the US midterm elections for 2018 takes place on Tuesday November 6th 2018 for the entire House of Representatives, 35 US Senate seats spread across about two thirds of the states and 36 Gubernatorial elections as well as a host of other local municipal elections and various local referenda.

    The 2018 US mid term elections have been described as one of the most consequential in many years. The reality is that most of the US Presidential and mid-term elections are described in such terms.

    A key component of this election is the surge in early voting. In recent election cycles voters are increasingly taking advantage of early voting and in three key states, Arizona, Nevada and Texas, early voting totals for 2018 have already exceeded entire voting totals for the mid terms in 2014. More states are expected to follow this pattern. Voting in this years mid terms is expected to be the highest for a midterm in decades.

    Most polling indicates that the GOP will loose their House majority and a number of Governorships but could possibly increase their slim Senate majority but the early voting figures could be impacting polling in unknown ways. There are several highly competitive races in each of the three main contests, House, Senate and Governors races.

    The elections raise many interesting questions, can Pelosi win back the Speakership and become the first Speaker since longest serving Speaker Sam Rayburn of Texas returned to the Speakership for a third stint in the 1950s? Will McConnell retain his role as Senate majority leader? Who will be elected as leader of the GOP caucus? A number of putative 2020 Democratic Presidential candidates are up for re-election tomorrow and (assuming they win) how might the overall results impact these candidates?

    Probably front and center though is what the elections will mean for President Trump and his agenda. A Democratic House could thwart his agenda with all sorts of investigations while an enhanced GOP Senate could make it easier to confirm Cabinet and judicial nominees.

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...enate_map.html

    https://fivethirtyeight.com/politics/

    http://crystalball.centerforpolitics...tings-changes/

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    Politics.ie Member Dame_Enda's Avatar
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    I think Pelosi is more of a deal maker as shown by her record as Speaker. I don't think she will agree to a Wall but she might do something on infrastructure. She is old and may be looking to her legacy. She will want to have something to show the electorate in 2020. However moderation is dying in the Democratic Party base and the likes of Alexandria Ocasio Cortez could move against her if she compromises too much as they would see it.
    Save the 27th

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    Politics.ie Member ruserious's Avatar
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    Closely following the Beto, Ojeda and GA-Gov races.

    The night Trump gets stumped.
    Boycott the "Irish" Sun rag.

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    Politics.ie Member Dame_Enda's Avatar
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    I think Miller will defeat Ojeda and hold on. Polls mostly back this up.
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    Politics.ie Member HenryHorace's Avatar
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    A lot of flakes are going to be be melting after these results come out.
    White lives matter.

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    Politics.ie Member Catalpast's Avatar
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    A Democratic Majority in the House will only divide the USA even more I'm afraid

    - its clear they have the knives out for Trump

    - and he will respond in kind....
    If you can convince a People to engage in the mass elimination of their own offspring - you can probably get them to do anything...http://irelandinhistory.blogspot.ie/

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    Politics.ie Member Vega1447's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Catalpast View Post
    A Democratic Majority in the House will only divide the USA even more I'm afraid

    - its clear they have the knives out for Trump

    - and he will respond in kind....
    Better to keep a Republican majority in the House then?

    Grand.
    My Avatar is the FF logo INVERTED symbolising contempt for the FF Party and its members.

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    Politics.ie Member President Bartlet's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ruserious View Post
    Closely following the Beto, Ojeda and GA-Gov races.

    The night Trump gets stumped.
    Would love to see Beto win but I just think there are too many hillibilly rednecks in Texas to put the gobsh!te Cruz over the line

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    Politics.ie Member President Bartlet's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Catalpast View Post
    A Democratic Majority in the House will only divide the USA even more I'm afraid

    - its clear they have the knives out for Trump

    - and he will respond in kind....
    Yeah because its not divided already under the Rethuglicon control of all three branches!

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    Politics.ie Member wombat's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vega1447 View Post
    Better to keep a Republican majority in the House then?

    Grand.
    If Republicans are not well beaten in the house, Trump will be unchallengeable which, long term, will be disaster for Republicans. The only hope for both parties is to start attracting moderate candidates.
    Beer is proof that God loves us - Benjamin Franklin

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