if you have trouble in deciding between Nigel Dodds & John Finucane -Yeah, north Belfast is really spoilt for choice. A DUP brexit hardliner or an absentee MP.
The agony of choice!
Interesting.His Mum Geraldine was a Protestant. But John Finucane is an impressive candidate. He has also relations who fought in World war 1 and World war 2, and on his mum's side were in the Orange order.
BELFAST'S Sinn Fein mayor joined with the British Legion to pay tribute to the fallen as the city marked the Armistice.www.irishnews.com
The loyalists involved in the disgusting smear campaign against John Finucane and Clair Hanna must be the most stupid people in Belfast right now. They haven't got the brains to understand that far from damaging either candidate, it is bolstering their bases, and ensuring that more of the "not terribly bothered" voters will be far more likely to come out and show solidarity with them.His grand uncle Wing Commander Brendan Eamonn Fergus Finucane, DSO, DFC & Two Bars died in 1942 fighting fascists. I'm surprised he wasn't on the Loyalists sh*tty banner.
A very hard one to call, Farry isn't particularly well liked and needs a chunk of the UUP vote to take the seat. In the 2017 assembly election the DUP had 37.5%, Alliance + Green + SDLP + SF total was 35.7% with UUP on 21.5%.I agree with all the OP's predictions. As regards North Down, I think Alliance will put in a very strong showing.
Same sort of thing happening in North Down, not going to help the DUP.The loyalists involved in the disgusting smear campaign against John Finucane and Clair Hanna must be the most stupid people in Belfast right now. They haven't got the brains to understand that far from damaging either candidate, it is bolstering their bases, and ensuring that more of the "not terribly bothered" voters will be far more likely to come out and show solidarity with them.
The only people who would take that seriously aren't likely to vote Alliance anyway. It's hard to see an upside to producing such a leaflet.
John Finucane is an extreamly good candidate who could win over a lot of sdlp votes.Gerry Kelly tried the "Vote for me, get a Taig in North Belfast" pitch in 2015 in the hope of attracting SDLP support. What flew completely over his head was the fact that most SDLP voters were likely to have been insulted by that sort of play for their votes.
You can tell you are a DUP voter just by the fact you didn't mention Brexit once, you're probably even a DUP member (Either that or a budding comedian). The DUP's Brexit performance may not be a factor in the bubble you live in. One thing I would stake my life on and that is that the DUP will have less MPs after this election than they have now.Belfast West
Huge split in the Fenian/Taig/Welfare Waster vote between Sinn Fein/IRA, SDLP and PBP over voter revulsion at sickening hypocrisy of SF/IRA refusal to condemn all terrorist acts of violence will benefit outstanding DUP candiate.
Increased police scrutiny of SF/IRA voter fraud scams will encourage pragmatic RCs to consider voting DUP
Newry and Armagh
Motorist backlash over dodgy diesel sold at SF/IRA supporting filling stations leading to groundswell of support for DUP
Graveyard revolt against SF/IRA arrogance and corruption will see dead switching in droves to
GAA violence controlled by SF/IRA godfathers turning voters to peace-loving DUP alternative
*With thanks to E Harris, E O'Hanlon, R Dudley Edwards, J Corcoran and the rest of the Soaraway Sindo team.
How backward of the UUP and DUP to manipulate housing in this way. This kind of thing doesnt happen down here. But housing discrimination based on social class most certainly does.North Belfast: I think John Finucane will win this. The DUP vote maxed out in every constituency last election. The DUP could even loose some moderate unionist votes over Brexit through lower turnout. The Demographic trend will see more 18 to 20 year old Nat voters registered since last election. I don't see SDLP voters having an issue voting for a new breed SF candidate like John Finucane, particularly when there is no other NAT option and giving the alternative especially following the DUPs Brexit performance. So, where are the DUP going to get additional votes from? All factors considered (Brexit, Demographics), the DUP are more likely to loose votes while a Nat candidate stands to gain, and in this case the fact that he is SF won't make a much of a difference.
Furthermore, Another factor which will encourage former SDLP voters to vote for Finucane is the issues with housing in NB and especially when you get Digel Dodds opposing housing developments - The modern version of gerrymandering. Worth a read (Including Olcan85s comment at the end of the article):
Discrimination still exists in housing Catholics and Protestants, and despite campaigners’ protests developers’ interests are favoured over those of local families in needwww.theguardian.com