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48% of Northern Irish would vote for United Ireland in shock new poll.


ruserious

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58% of people in Northern Ireland want to stay in single market and customs union after Brexit | Irish Examiner

A new opinion poll has shown that 58% of Northerners wish to remain in the customs union and single market after Brexit. This alone shows that the DUP does not have a mandate to dictate the future of NI.

But amazingly, in the event of a hard Brexit, 48% of those surveyed say they would vote for a United Ireland.

It seems we're getting closer and closer to that day when a border poll will be called.
 

DaveM

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The headline on Newton Emerson's column this morning is "Another DUP victory on the road to defeat". Sums it up quite neatly. If the DUP want a united Ireland they are playing an absolute blinder.
 

Spirit Of Newgrange

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oh a united ireland. what a boring and hackneyed debate. i reckon 52% of southerners would be happy to dock Ulster just off the coast of iceland.
 

gleeful

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58% of people in Northern Ireland want to stay in single market and customs union after Brexit | Irish Examiner

A new opinion poll has shown that 58% of Northerners wish to remain in the customs union and single market after Brexit. This alone shows that the DUP does not have a mandate to dictate the future of NI.

But amazingly, in the event of a hard Brexit, 48% of those surveyed say they would vote for a United Ireland.

It seems we're getting closer and closer to that day when a border poll will be called.
What actually triggers a border poll. Is it up to the NI Secretary of State?
 

ruserious

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What actually triggers a border poll. Is it up to the NI Secretary of State?
Yes. When, in their opinion, that such a poll would likely pass. Which would allow some scope to delay one until you start seeing support in polls up and around 60%.
 

gleeful

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Yes. When, in their opinion, that such a poll would likely pass. Which would allow some scope to delay one until you start seeing support in polls up and around 60%.
And a Tory hard right British nationalist like the current one could ignore it entirely.
 

cunnyfunt

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If ever the time was right to reach for a united Ireland.............this is it.
 

silverharp

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oh a united ireland. what a boring and hackneyed debate. i reckon 52% of southerners would be happy to dock Ulster just off the coast of iceland.
its not the land, just the people. Maybe if the Brits gave every Nordi prod a free house in Scotland, in fact build them a new city, New Belfast?
 

DaveM

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It's hard to argue against that premise, really.
Brexit has been a huge game changer. It's generated an impetus in creating a very real and easily recognisable rationale for NI to be unified with the republic that is removed from arguments reliant purely on nationalism.
 

eoghanacht

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Tick, tock.
 

eoghanacht

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I have to laugh at some of the comments, vehement anti Shinners calling for a border poll.

Lads if it passes you're going to end up with a heap more SF voters.
 

between the bridges

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Jaysus only 48%? Brexit (after Scottish Independence & 2016) was meant to deliver the mythological utopian UI...
 

Golden Phoenix

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What would be the financial cost to the Republic if there was a united Ireland? I seem to remember some research was done on this a few years ago.
 

silverharp

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I wouldn't take the number seriously, its the classic scare the establishment type question, so even if someone was a hard core unionist they might answer yes to a UI in a survey. Brexit might have changed the minds of a few castle catholics but not unionists. It also assumes the survey was properly carried out
 

Pizza Man

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I have to laugh at some of the comments, vehement anti Shinners calling for a border poll.

Lads if it passes you're going to end up with a heap more SF voters.
True. But clearly the Sinn Fein party will immediately wind itself up, having achieved its sole raison d'etre.
 

ruserious

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Jaysus only 48%? Brexit (after Scottish Independence & 2016) was meant to deliver the mythological utopian UI...
It may well do. Unfortunately the poll doesn't say how many would vote to stay in the Union as the "don't know" figures aren't included.
 
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