- May 25, 2009
According to Matthew Lynn over on Bloomberg, the current crisis is merely the prelude to others as the heart of the problem is the Euro- he predicts that an Irish bailout will merely give way to another crisis over Portugal but that this domino will topple over affecting Spain, Italy, and France and thus give way to a split in the Euro. I disagree with some of his points about austerity etc but he makes some interesting points nonetheless.
Euro Dominos Will Fall Until Currency Is Split: Matthew Lynn - BloombergIreland is on the brink of a bailout from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund.
When it happens, we’ll hear plenty of soothing words about how contagion has been stopped, the euro area has been put on a firmer footing, and the single currency saved. There will be a lot of grand rhetoric about the importance of the European project. Stern condemnations of the speculators will ring out across the continent.
Don’t listen to a word of it. The euro has turned into a bankruptcy machine. Once the markets have finished with Ireland, they will simply move on to Portugal and Spain, and after that to Italy and France.
There is a domino effect at work, and, with each rescue, the fault lines within the euro grow wider and wider. This process isn’t going to stop until the euro is taken apart.