It doesn't really. If Zappone is at risk, it's from the second FG candidate, and if that second FG candidate is eliminated, then Zappone is most likely home anyway. Far more likely is that one of Zappone and the second FG candidate is elected, with the other finishing 6th but not eliminated. So again, no FG votes trickling down to Zapper as 3rd prefs.Depends how long the count goes on.
Wow. That's some apt quote right there!I tend to think this is largely predictable.
Lahart, Brophy, Murphy and Crowe are pretty nailed on - certainly the first three.
The only real question is if Zappone hangs on. O'Malley-Dunlop's selection is precisely aimed at taking her out. (It's a little depressing that figures like O'Malley Dunlop and Deirdre Duffy both Toegther for Yes people have thrown their lot in with a party that was largely pulled kicking and screaming to the table on abortion).