I agree, I'm surprised FG didn't parachute in a stronger candidate, a bit of a test for Varadkar to bring in Currie but I'd imagine she'll fall short given the poll standings for FG.Despite the tide starting to go out for the hard left I'd still have Coppinger just about beating Donnelly. Varadkar and Chambers each take seats, and then it's one from Burton, O'Gorman and Currie. You'd have to assume Burton is running, if she wasn't she'd have been expected to announce by now so that her successor could get out there. Burton does pick up FG votes, so if FG can manage their vote effectively they might be able to get Currie ahead, though it's a bit of a long shot. I'd say it's more likely to be between Burton and O'Gorman for the last seat, and it's very hard to call.
Chambers will take a seat and then it's two from Coppinger, Burton, Donnelly and O'Gorman. I think O'Gorman will take Burton out and I think Coppinger will pip Donnelly but if SF get any bounce, he might take it, I'm surprised they didn't put Lynn Boylan in here.