Election on the cards? New B&A poll gives FF an 11-point lead!

Breanainn

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Aug 23, 2014
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Conducted Jan 31st-Feb 8th, so before Tusla/McCabe news:

FF 32% (+3)
FG 21% (-2)
SF 19% (+2)
Ind 8% (-7)
Lab 6% (+1)
Ind All 5% (+2)
AAA-PBP 3% (-2)
Soc Dems 2% (+1)
Greens 2% (-1)
Workers' 1% (+1)
 


ger12

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Feb 25, 2011
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Omg ... is that real?

Polls are not something I'd be guided by in fairness.
 

sport02

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Sinn Féin to table down a motion of no confidence in the government next week.

Now this.
Gav Reilly
POLL! STimes/B&A (Jan31-Feb8, MoE 3.3%) FF 32 +3/3wk FG 21 -2 SF 19 +2 Ind/ors 8 -7 Lab 6 +1 IA 5 +2 AAAPBP 3 -2 SD 2 +1 GP 2 -1 WP 1 +1 
 

sport02

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When will Simon or Leo make their move? Fitzgerald is damaged goods now.
Could Paschal Donohoe be in the running? Enda is yesterday's man.
 

Lumpy Talbot

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No
Fine Gael a mere two points off Sinn Fein's numbers? If FG hit the same number as Sinn Fein at any point then it will be hours before Kenny's time is up.
 

Breanainn

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Satisfaction ratings (also per @GavReilly):

Government: 29% (-2)
Martin: 53% (+4)
Kenny: 30% (+1)
Howlin: 39%
Adams: 39% (+8)
 

Erudite Caveman

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Polls should be taken with a major pinch of salt!
Ask Hillary Clinton..
You mean you might get the percentage that the poll suggests but still not win?

The US polls were accurate when consolidated into poll of polls, just like they largely were with Brexit too.
 

Peppermint

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But it is sad that this poll managed to find 32 people who support FF!
Why would anyone support FF?

Have they no memory?
 

sport02

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Imagine facing into an imminent election with Enda, Michael, Brendan and Gerry as the leaders of the main parties in this country. How utterly uninspiring and depressing.
Nothing new offered by anyone of them.
 

an modh coinniolach

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Satisfaction ratings (also per @GavReilly):

Government: 29% (-2)
Martin: 53% (+4)
Kenny: 30% (+1)
Howlin: 39%
Adams: 39% (+8)
It's incredible to me that any of them commands double-digit satisfaction ratings.
 

PBP voter

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Polls should be taken with a major pinch of salt!
Ask Hillary Clinton..
The polls were within + or -3% for the US presidential election in terms of popular vote.

Of the 13 final national polls conducted the week before the election that tested the four-way presidential contest, only one had Trump ahead and 12 put Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton on top.

That would seem to be a veritable disaster for the polling industry, right?

Not exactly.

National polls only measure the popular vote. Clinton did, in fact, win the national popular vote by 2.1 points. The average of the 13 final national polls had Clinton ahead by 3.1 points, which was only a point off the actual result
One last look: 2016 polls actually got a lot right | TheHill
.

If FF are in the 29-35% area it's desperate stuff for us all.
 

cabledude

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I am a card carrying member of FG. Kenny as the leader of our party has long outstayed his welcome.

Time for him to go.
 

LDF

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FG are terrible at politics. We don't need a poll to tell us that.
 

OrderoftheDragon

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Fg deserve everything that's coming to them, the arrogant cheek of them to think they can decide when to have a coronation......Kenny is a clueless imbecile, Varadker a mouthy attention seeker, Coveney a disciple of globalisation and the Davos Sect. Harris a tea boy and Fitzgerald just walked herself out of a job.

Not that FF are any better, the country is a mess.......
 

President Bartlet

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When will Simon or Leo make their move? Fitzgerald is damaged goods now.
Could Paschal Donohoe be in the running? Enda is yesterday's man.
If Simon had any wit he would do it now with Leo out of the country on tour with President Higgins
 

Plebian

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Don't think much of B&A but there's no getting away from the fact that FF are close to 30% when you look at all the recent polls. For them to be so close to where they were pre crash is pretty disturbing and driven by a consistent decline in FGs fortunes.

It's time for Enda to walk the plank for the sake of the party.
 

TheWolf

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I am a card carrying member of FG. Kenny as the leader of our party has long outstayed his welcome.

Time for him to go.
Kenny isn't your problem, people know what to expect from him and don't hope for anything else.
Doherty, Fitzgerald, Coveney and Varadker are your problem, they're the heirs to the throne seemingly.
 


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