Given Arthur Morgan (SF) is standing down, who do you fancy taking his seat in Louth?

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davidcochrane
With the announcement tonight that Arthur Morgan is not contesting the next General Election for Sinn Fein, eyes has swiftly moved to who'll win the fourth seat in Louth in the next General Election.

Current Sitting TDs

FF Seamus Kirk
FF Dermot Ahern
FG Fergus O'Dowd
SF Arthur Morgan
The person who should be licking their chops the most tonight is Fine Gael's Maireaid McGuinness, she was the last eliminated in the 2007 General Election.

Labour have been sending message around delighting at the opportunity that this now presents for their candidate in this constituency.

The fourth seat is likely to be slugged out between FG's McGuinness (if she runs) and Labour's Gerald Nash (who didn't poll too well last time) - can Labour do enough to win a seat in this constituency, or will FG take a second one?
 


JoeHickey

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With the announcement tonight that Arthur Morgan is not contesting the next General Election for Sinn Fein, eyes has swiftly moved to who'll win the fourth seat in Louth in the next General Election.

Current Sitting TDs



The person who should be licking their chops the most tonight is Fine Gael's Maireaid McGuinness, she was the last eliminated in the 2007 General Election.

Labour have been sending message around delighting at the opportunity that this now presents for their candidate in this constituency.

The fourth seat is likely to be slugged out between FG's McGuinness (if she runs) and Labour's Gerald Nash (who didn't poll too well last time) - can Labour do enough to win a seat in this constituency, or will FG take a second one?
Surely the SF candidate given the strenght of the party in Louth should be in the running for the seat as well? Obviouslt SF knew this was coming and are prepared.
 

Mushroom

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With the announcement tonight that Arthur Morgan is not contesting the next General Election for Sinn Fein, eyes has swiftly moved to who'll win the fourth seat in Louth in the next General Election.

Current Sitting TDs



The person who should be licking their chops the most tonight is Fine Gael's Maireaid McGuinness, she was the last eliminated in the 2007 General Election.

Labour have been sending message around delighting at the opportunity that this now presents for their candidate in this constituency.

The fourth seat is likely to be slugged out between FG's McGuinness (if she runs) and Labour's Gerald Nash (who didn't poll too well last time) - can Labour do enough to win a seat in this constituency, or will FG take a second one?


That seat could well have been a shoo-in for the Greens' Senator Mark Deary ... if they hadn't taken the FF soup in 2007!
 

johnfás

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The fourth seat is likely to be slugged out between FG's McGuinness (if she runs) and Labour's Gerald Nash (who didn't poll too well last time) - can Labour do enough to win a seat in this constituency, or will FG take a second one?
Or both, Fianna Fáil won't maintain two seats.
 

Panopticon

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With the announcement tonight that Arthur Morgan is not contesting the next General Election for Sinn Fein, eyes has swiftly moved to who'll win the fourth seat in Louth in the next General Election.

Current Sitting TDs



The person who should be licking their chops the most tonight is Fine Gael's Maireaid McGuinness, she was the last eliminated in the 2007 General Election.

Labour have been sending message around delighting at the opportunity that this now presents for their candidate in this constituency.

The fourth seat is likely to be slugged out between FG's McGuinness (if she runs) and Labour's Gerald Nash (who didn't poll too well last time) - can Labour do enough to win a seat in this constituency, or will FG take a second one?
Eh what? In the last year, we have had the seismic shock of the Labour surge all over the GDA, with Fine Gael utterly stagnant - and yet you are suggesting that Fine Gael have the edge over either Labour or Sinn Féin? And no suggestion that two of the three could gain due to FF's collapse as well as Morgan's retirement? There is a blind spot to the left of your field of political vision, I think!
 

FutureTaoiseach

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Does Mairead McGuinness intend to run, give she hasn't clarified her intentions with respect to the forthcoming Presidential election? I agree she is favourite should she run, as the Labour vote last year in Louth was just 11%. Possible SF candidates: Cllrs Pearse McGeogh (Ardee), Imelda Munster (Drogheda East), Jim Loughran (Dundalk Carlingford), Edel Corrigan (same), Paddy McQuillan (Drogheda West), or Tomas Sharkey (Dundalk South)?
 

bogtrotter

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Thomas Sharkey will most likely be the Sinn Fein candidate in the coming election....He is very strong in Dundalk and will draw quite a big vote from south Louth...He is well know throughout Louth having contested the Euros and got a respectable vote... He should hold the seat for Sinn Fein..
 
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Why is Deputy Morgan resigning? Anyone know?
 
R

RepublicanSocialist1798

Why is Deputy Morgan resigning? Anyone know?
He wants to go back to running the family fish processing company. It was an open secret for a good while that he wouldn't be contesting the next election.

Why do you ask?
 

flavirostris

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Cai

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FF will lose one & SF are stronger than Labour at a local level in Louth.
So I guess they're more likely than not to retain a seat.
 

Bridget558

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Gerry Adams should run there in the next election, it would be great to have him in Dail Eireann
 

devnull

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I can't see SF losing the seat.

They got 17% there in the LEs (up 2% from Morgan's performance in the GE), Sharkey got a respectable vote in the LEs and the Euros should have done good things for his profile.

Kirk is Ceann Comhairle and the constituency is getting an extra seat, so Dermot Ahern's should the safest FF seat in the country.

That's 1 Ceann Comhairle (FF), 1 FG, 1 FF & 1 SF.
I reckon the only thing that's really in question is will FG or Labour get the 5th and extra seat?
 

pjoz

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With the announcement tonight that Arthur Morgan is not contesting the next General Election for Sinn Fein, eyes has swiftly moved to who'll win the fourth seat in Louth in the next General Election.

Current Sitting TDs



The person who should be licking their chops the most tonight is Fine Gael's Maireaid McGuinness, she was the last eliminated in the 2007 General Election.

Labour have been sending message around delighting at the opportunity that this now presents for their candidate in this constituency.

The fourth seat is likely to be slugged out between FG's McGuinness (if she runs) and Labour's Gerald Nash (who didn't poll too well last time) - can Labour do enough to win a seat in this constituency, or will FG take a second one?
Rather strange of you to totally discount SF considering you posted Arthurs letter on another thread,perhaps you believe his claim of SF's party strenght in Louth lacks credibility?
 


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