Gubernatorial Elections – 2016

NYCKY

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While the focus is on the Presidential and Senate elections this week, there are also a number of Gubernatorial elections to be held on Tuesday. Most of the Gubernatorial elections are held along with the midterm elections, but during Presidential years, there are typically 11 contests. This year there are 12, Delaware, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, New Hampshire, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oregon, Utah, Vermont, Washington, and West Virginia. Vermont and New Hampshire are the only two states that have two year terms and this year Oregon is having a special election to fill out the remainder of John Kitzhaber’s term as he resigned shortly after his election in 2014.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/02/16/us/politics/oregon-governor-john-kitzhaber-and-fiancee-cylvia-hayes-walked-tangled-path-to-exit.html?_r=0

These elections this year are more low key than usual, with no marquee races and only two, New Hampshire and North Carolina taking place in Presidential battleground states. Incidentally, both states have competitive Senate races as do Indiana and Missouri.

The current breakdown on a national level is 31 Republican Governors, 18 Democratic Governors and 1 Independent Governor in Alaska. Of the 12 contests on, the breakdown is 8 Democratic incumbents 4 GOP incumbents. Seven incumbents are not running again, for different reasons, some are term limited, but others like Maggie Hassan in New Hampshire is running for the Senate there and Mike Pence from Indiana is the current GOP VP nominee.

Projections vary by source but North Dakota and Utah are seen as safe GOP holds, while West Virginia is seen as a possible GOP pick up. Delaware, Montana, Washington and Oregon with Kate Brown running for election as Governor in her own right are seen as safe Democratic holds. Brown, if elected would become the first openly bisexual Governor elected. The other five, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Missouri, Indiana and yes Vermont are right now considered toss ups.

2016 Governor Elections - Polls, Projections and Results

RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races

Governors, often go on to national office like the Cabinet and four of the last six Presidents were Governors. At least one Governor has been on the ticket in each Presidential election going back to 1964. This year, both running mates have gubernatorial experience.
 
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livingstone

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While the focus is on the Presidential and Senate elections this week, there are also a number of Gubernatorial elections to be held on Tuesday. Most of the Gubernatorial elections are held along with the midterm elections, but during Presidential years, there are typically 11 contests. This year there are 12, Delaware, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, New Hampshire, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oregon, Utah, Vermont, Washington, and West Virginia. Vermont and New Hampshire are the only two states that have two year terms and this year Oregon is having a special election to fill out the remainder of John Kitzhaber’s term as he resigned shortly after his election in 2014.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/02/16/us/politics/oregon-governor-john-kitzhaber-and-fiancee-cylvia-hayes-walked-tangled-path-to-exit.html?_r=0

These elections this year are more low key than usual, with no marquee races and only two, New Hampshire and North Carolina taking place in Presidential battleground states. Incidentally, both states have competitive Senate races as do Indiana and Missouri.

The current breakdown on a national level is 31 Republican Governors, 18 Democratic Governors and 1 Independent Governor in Alaska. Of the 12 contests on, the breakdown is 8 Democratic incumbents 4 GOP incumbents. Seven incumbents are not running again, for different reasons, some are term limited, but others like Maggie Hassan in New Hampshire is running for the Senate there and Mike Pence from Indiana is the current GOP VP nominee.

Projections vary by source but North Dakota and Utah are seen as safe GOP holds, while West Virginia is seen as a possible GOP pick up. Delaware, Montana, Washington and Oregon with Kate Brown running for election as Governor in her own right are seen as safe Democratic holds. Brown, if elected would become the first openly bisexual Governor elected. The other five, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Missouri, Indiana and yes Vermont are right now considered toss ups.

2016 Governor Elections - Polls, Projections and Results

RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races

Governors, often go on to national office like the Cabinet and four of the last six Presidents were Governors. With the exception of 1984, at least one Governor has been on the ticket in each Presidential election going back to 1964. This year, both running mates have gubernatorial experience.
I haven't been following these much this year. I was under the impression North Carolina was a likely Democratic pick up.

This, along with State Houses, is an area where Democrats really need to focus. The GOP have really had an upper hand in State Capitals over recent years and the Democrats will (and already are) feeling that in a lack of depth on their bench compared to the GOP.
 

NYCKY

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I haven't been following these much this year. I was under the impression North Carolina was a likely Democratic pick up.

This, along with State Houses, is an area where Democrats really need to focus. The GOP have really had an upper hand in State Capitals over recent years and the Democrats will (and already are) feeling that in a lack of depth on their bench compared to the GOP.
Yea, the last five I mentioned are kind of fluid and yes NC is a likely pick up for the Dems but then New Hampshire could well be a pick up for the GOP where Chris Sununu. Chris is the son of former Governor and GHW Bush chief of staff John and brother of former Senator John. Dynastic politics alive and well in New Hampshire.

Definitely the lack of a deep bench was obvious in the primaries this year and her VP stakes. The Democrats have 18 Governors and some like McAuliffe in Virginia and Cuomo (also from her home state) were kind of damaged goods, others like Gerry Brown in California, too old. Some others like Gina Raimando on Rhode Island and Tom Wolf in Pennsylvania were only elected in 2014.
 

Erudite Caveman

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The closure of the highway rest stops 91 and 89 in Vermount could swing it for the Cris Ericson this year.

[video=youtube;rOEVmwFCYtQ]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOEVmwFCYtQ[/video]
That has done more to restore my faith in American democracy than anything else in the past few years.

Except the last bit. Shinners can put this one away for safe keeping:. "The good people of Alaska want to talk about the issues, not some esoteric inside-the-beltway process story about whether their representative in congress murdered somebody."
 

Socratus O' Pericles

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The closure of the highway rest stops 91 and 89 in Vermount could swing it for the Cris Ericson this year.

[video=youtube;rOEVmwFCYtQ]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOEVmwFCYtQ[/video]
Terrific, yer wan in the hats is classic, reminds me of Bea somehow.
 

Dame_Enda

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Any word on NC? Rooting for Cooper to punish McCrory for the horrible anti gay law HB2
 

NYCKY

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Jim Justice, the Democrat has won the West Virginia Governorship in a hold for the Democrats.
 

NYCKY

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The Lt Governor has held on in the Indiana Governors race, replacing incumbent Mike Pence.
 

Dame_Enda

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Michigan 48.6-46-4 (32% of vote in)
WI (48.5-46.3) (42% in)
FL 49.2-47.7 (95% in)
Arizona 48,9-46.4 (52% in)
NC Trump 50.5-46.9
Georgia Trump 56.8-40.5 (49% in)
NH Trump 48.7-45.8 (47% in)
Virginia HRC 48.2-46.7 87% in
Colorado HRC 48.8-43.7 69% in
Iowa HRC 57.2-37.8
Penn HRC 51-45.6 51% in
Wisconsin Trump 48-46

Pennsylvania getting scarily close
 

Dame_Enda

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While pro Trump, Im annoyed the NC governor is 48000 ahead given his horrible law.
 

NYCKY

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The GOP has picked up two Governorships in Missouri and Vermont.

Montana and New Hampshire (current D) still too close to call and North Carolina (current R) still too close to call.

The others have been called with no changes to party affiliation.
 

Dame_Enda

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Looks like McCrory is behind slightly. Good but sadly the numbers arent there in assembly to reverse hb2. GOP retains veto proof majority
 

Dame_Enda

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NC is being recounted county by county on November 19th according to McCrory. Hes around 4500 behind.
 

Dame_Enda

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Democrat’s Lead Widens in North Carolina Governor’s Race via @FortuneMagazine Democrat's Lead Widens in North Carolina Governor's Race

The Republicans control the legislature and in theory they can maybe decide a disputed result but without any evidence of a McCrory lead it would be politically unwise . Hopefully his defeat when conceded will cause the state GOP to revoke HB2 bit they may draw the wring conclusions from Trump winning the state. Trump was a critic of the law but rowed back under right-wing pressure
 

Longford1

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While pro Trump, Im annoyed the NC governor is 48000 ahead given his horrible law.
Are people actually saying that a law that ensures that you go to the bathroom corresponding to your genitals is horrible. Without hb2 we would be saying that gender doesn't matter and you can stroll in to whatever bathroom you 'feel represents you'- just bonkers!
 

Dame_Enda

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Are people actually saying that a law that ensures that you go to the bathroom corresponding to your genitals is horrible. Without hb2 we would be saying that gender doesn't matter and you can stroll in to whatever bathroom you 'feel represents you'- just bonkers!
He is 8000 behind now.

I think post operative transsexuals that look like their new gender should go to the bathrooms of that gender. I'm not convinced sexual predators would go to the lengths of having a sex change just to get into bathrooms of potential victims. There's also a danger that a transman forced by hb2 to go to a female bathroom would be wrongly suspected of being a male sex predator stalking prey.
 


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