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How many seats will SF win in the next Dail elections ? 30+ ?


PO'Neill

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According to the latest polls, SF are on 18% but obviously the only real gauge of public opinion is elections. However this would roughly transfers into 30 seats, 16 above their present. So folks will SF win 30 + in the next Dail election ? An important point to bear in mind is that polls show SF are becoming more transfer friendly, with for example the Behaviour and Attitudes survey showing SF getting 1% transfer from FG !!!!!

So folks, what's your predicitons ??


Sunday Business Post Red C poll

Fine Gael: 32% (no change)

Labour: 14% (-1)

Fianna Fáil: 18% (no change)

Sinn Féin: 18% (+2)

Independents/Green/others: 18% (-1)

The Sunday Business Post


The Behaviour and Attitudes Survey for tomorrow's Sunday Times also shows less than a quarter of people are happy with the coalition and a drop in support for Fine Gael.

The poll shows Fine Gael on 31, down two points, while Sinn Féin and Independents go up a point each to 18 and 19 respectively.

There was no change for the others - Labour on 14, Fianna Fáil on 16 and the Greens on 2.

Poll indicates two point drop for FG | BreakingNews.ie
 

james5001

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I don't think they'll win as many as people, in general, think they will.
The establishment, through their control of the mainstreammedia, will see to that.
 

PO'Neill

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I don't think they'll win as many as people, in general, think they will.
The establishment, through their control of the mainstreammedia, will see to that.
The mainstream media have been saying they won't get anywhere since 1981, been getting it wrong though !
 

True Republican

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There will be a huge amount hysteria by the media in the run up to the next general election especially if SF are polling near 20%, last years tirade by the SINDO against McGuinness will be quite mild compared to the crap they will come out with in the run up to the next general election.
 

thegregster

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The mainstream media have been saying they won't get anywhere since 1981, been getting it wrong though !
PSF said they would never sit in a British parliament or meet the Queen.
 

juggernaut

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very much depends who is leader - thought Adams was shook last week against Martin.
 

Keith-M

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Be very wary of polls and SF. We've gone from a point up to a couple of years ago where polls under-estimated SF support, to the last election, where every poll over-estimated SF support. I think ~15% is going to be the glass ceiling for SF, while Adams is leader.
 

PO'Neill

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PSF said they would never sit in a British parliament or meet the Queen.
The unionists especially the DUP said over there dead bodies that they would share power with SF and let Dublin have a role in the wee statelet.
 

Kai123

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very much depends who is leader - thought Adams was shook last week against Martin.
Ridiculous that he is still leader. SF have a great chance if they have a new, younger leader that's not marred by the past. Adams would know this unless he is stupid or has a huge ego.
 

james5001

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The mainstream media have been saying they won't get anywhere since 1981, been getting it wrong though !
But they have slowed their progression significantly.
 

True Republican

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very much depends who is leader - thought Adams was shook last week against Martin.
Sinn Fein need to persuade Adams to step down as leader, the man is clueless on economic issues.
 

james5001

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Be very wary of polls and SF. We've gone from a point up to a couple of years ago where polls under-estimated SF support, to the last election, where every poll over-estimated SF support. I think ~15% is going to be the glass ceiling for SF, while Adams is leader.
I'd agree with that and I'd add to be wary of all of these opinion polls which go up and down every few weeks.
 

thegregster

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The unionists especially the DUP said over there dead bodies that they would share power with SF and let Dublin have a role in the wee statelet.
I agree, Both sides are idiots. The only positive of the whole war was sending jimmy sands and the boys on a diet.

Both sides could have done a deal in 74 and save the whole country another 24 years of misery.
 

MacCoise2

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Be very wary of polls and SF. We've gone from a point up to a couple of years ago where polls under-estimated SF support, to the last election, where every poll over-estimated SF support. I think ~15% is going to be the glass ceiling for SF, while Adams is leader.
You have been predicting their demise/stagnation for a long time.....
 

south tipp

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If an election was called within a year they would get about 22 seats. 30 seats will be a few too many to achieve even in 2016. 25 would be a huge success that's more probable.
 

True Republican

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If an election was called within a year they would get about 22 seats. 30 seats will be a few too many to achieve even in 2016. 25 would be a huge success that's more probable.
I actually think sinn fein would only get about 18-20 seats if an election was called in the next year, Adams would be found out in a tv debate especially on economic issues.
 

Little_Korean

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Sinn Fein need to persuade Adams to step down as leader, the man is clueless on economic issues.
Is there a SF member who isn't? I ask a genuine question, SF seems good on attack mode, not so well when they have to explain any alternatives.
 
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