- Oct 7, 2011
I'm well aware that you didn't mention attack helicopters nor any aggression towards any one. I was referring to other posters there. To my way of thinking no doomsday scenario will lead to a united Ireland and any suggestion of its imminence would see a hurried withdrawal of Irish forces from Protestant areas assuming any had moved north to begin with. There would then be a crude re-division of Ireland with huge areas of NI coming south while the rest would be a stateless no-mans-land which was not recognized by the UN or any other government and would become an economic disaster zone unless something was agreed quickly. The whole thing is just totally unthinkable.It’s the doomsday scenario that is disgusting, but it’s a scenario that is possible. Attack helicopters(which btw I never mentioned)are just a tool that are suitable for use in particular situations. They provide a means of significantly bolstering the strength of ground units in that they enhance their ability to change position and likewise reduce that of the opposition. Even their very presence causes that effect even without the use of any weaponry. They increase the tactical options of the local commander and as such are a significant force multiplier.
I do not think it is inconceivable or disgusting that the very notion of their deployment against any significant paramilitary force in a doomsday scenario. It may seem fantastical or grotesque to even talk about such a scenario at this moment but we have not idea what could be a credible scenario in 15 years time. A large part of the raison d’être of the military is dealing with extreme negatives. Defence planning should never be based on optimistic conceptions.
I think that a vote for unity would make the majority of Unionists very fearful ,knowing that the UK would be obliged to remove their support and leave them to deal with us on their own. We would merely have to be a bit friendly to them to induce a collective sigh of relief on their part. I doubt that a Border Poll would take place in which a vote for unity would come as a total surprise and I don't think one would take place in which every one was not re-assured and mollified. In fact I think there would be cast iron guarantees made in advance over the most serious stuff and all in all I think that no defence planning nor materiel acquisition should be made with anything to do with the north in mind. We should prepare our armed forces so that they would make up a useful addition to our EU allies and perhaps with UN duty in mind-nothing else.