If Trudeau wins, one hopes he’ll lay the self-regard on a little less thick, more in line with the Liberal PMs since his dad: Turner, Chrétien and Martin. It’s a credit to them that they’re not household names outside Canada.
Obviously it has escaped your notice that Trudeau is an idiot.... In the UK, a man blatantly unfit to be PM may still win an election and in the US a man not suited to running a small shop may well be reelected president. Compared to them Trudeau is a world class statesman although I realise this isn't saying much.
You're right. He is both a clown and a hypocrite but the latter has always been a requirement for political success while the former appears to have recently become one. Either way, his credibility is shot.I couldn't care less who wins the Canadian election but I have always regarded Canadians as mainly sensible people . I can't believe they will cast their vote influenced by something a man did twenty years ago as a bit of fun. Ok, hes shown himself to be a hypocrite but its only in recent years this has become a big deal.
In the UK, a man blatantly unfit to be PM may still win an election and in the US a man not suited to running a small shop may well be reelected president. Compared to them Trudeau is a world class statesman although I realise this isn't saying much.
Right now, a Liberal win looks slightly more likely. The popular vote may be misleading because the Conservatives are so strong in the West, leaving FPTP to work its magic:The Canadian election appears to be now a statistical dead heat betweeen the Tories and the Libs on about 33-34% each. It's not exactly much of a triumph for Scheer but it's still a fair swing from 39 to 32% last time. The NDP is down as well (about 5%) and the only real gainers are the Greens on 10%.
I presume the most likely outcome is some arrangement between the Libs, the NDP and the Greens?
That is one scenario that could play out in 2019. The polls might continue to show a neck-and-neck race through to election day, and the result could be counterintuitive. The Poll Tracker consistently has shown the Conservatives leading (if narrowly) in national voting intentions but trailing the Liberals in the seat projection.
Alberta and Saskatchewan could play the role for Andrew Scheer's Conservatives that Quebec played for Pierre Trudeau's Liberals in 1979 — giving him lots of extra votes that pump up his national numbers but do not help him win extra seats in the rest of the country.
Beating an opponent in an election and successfully running a country are 2 entirely different skills.None of these people are ‘idiots’. Trudeau has beaten many opponents who underestimated him.
Trudeau hasn’t been that bad at running the country. Every govt. has scandals and getting new pipelines built in Canada has been a nightmare for decades (to hear the Tories talk you’d think Harper was building one a week). He has some of Enda Kenny’s virtues, stamina and toughness, that are harder to see or hear than oratorical skills. If he does survive, I would expect less talk about the joys of immigration and budget deficits, and if he doesn’t, Scheer is not massively different from him anyway. One thing I liked about Trudeau was the town hall meetings he ran across the country as PM where he took a load of flak in front of the cameras.Beating an opponent in an election and successfully running a country are 2 entirely different skills.
Many examples of people being good with the former, but bad with the latter.