Leading polling firm conducts Donegal South West byelection poll, results later today

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Politics.ie understands that a leading polling firm conducted research in Donegal South West over the weekend for a major client, and is tabulating the final figures at the moment.

The survey is expected to be published this afternoon - and once they're in the wild, they'll be here on Politics.ie
 


The Banker

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Hopefully the maFFia will be near the bottom... But I doubt it.
 

callmedave

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Will be very interesting to see how "national anger" will transfer into a staunch FF area when crunch time is upon them. Could be an eye opener for the rest of us as to the amount of work needed to actually remove FF.
 

stripey cat

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In a constituency as big and diverse as Donegal SW, I don't know how useful a poll will be, unless it has a very large sample size.

I would also reckon that with a collapse of normal voting patterns, a lot of folks will be making up their minds on the day, or even in the polling booth.
 

Kerrygold

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Pity the poll isn't conducted this weekend given everything thats happened since Sunday. But it'll be interesting to see if FF has dropped enough to actually lose the by election.
 

FutureTaoiseach

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Don't forget this is a constituency desensitised to mass-unemployment because in those parts, it has always been thus. And the parish pump remains a potent weapon in rural Ireland.
 
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dalywise

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Don't forget this is a constituency desensitised to mass-unemployment because in those parts, it has always been thus.
very true, and a constituency so faithful to FF that they have never received anything from FF governments over the years - no need to as they are always faithful - semper fidelis. So they don't expect a lot and they couldn't care less about the rest of the country. So, it could be FF alright.
 

FutureTaoiseach

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I think it will underestimate the FF vote because of the "shy-Tory" factor:

FF 28%
SF 28%
FG 24%
Labour 15%
Ind 5%
 
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Not a bad idea, anyone who guesses the closest to the actual results will get a wee prize from the Politics.ie Prizebin. (warning, may be a political book).
 

dinnyMEP

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SF 30 FF 27 FG 24 Pringle 9 Lab 9 Oth 1


sorry FT prediction, was away at lunch
 
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TonyB

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TonyB's Thumb-In-The-Air-Poll (excluding don't knows)

SF - 31%
FF - 29%
FG - 20%
Lab - 11%
Ind / Others - 9%
 

locke

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Prediction, not the result

O Domhnaill 32%
Doherty 26%
O'Neill 18%
McBrearty 12%
Pringle 10%
The other candidate 2%
 

The Dude

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Doherty - 25%
McBrearty - 20%
O'Neill - 20%
O'Domhnaill - 20%
Others/dunno - 15%
 

Pat Mc Larnon

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SF - 32%
FF - 26%
FG - 22%
Lab - 12%
Others - 8%
 

White Rose

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Haven't a clue but I want that political book:

SF 30%
FF 23%
FG 19%
LAB 11%
Others 6%
Don't knows 11%
 


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