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Meath East Polling day coverage and results


Sync

Well-known member
Joined
Aug 27, 2009
Messages
28,765
The big day is here and voters in Kells go to the polls in an effort to replace FG TD Shane McEntee who passed away in 2012. McEntee garnered 20% of the first preference vote and FG over all closed with 41% of the FPV. This was a reversal from the 2007 vote which saw FF take 43% of the FPV

For some unknown reason there have been no decent polls run in the area, so we can't get into the fascinating discussion on the differences in voting patterns in Kilmore and Trohanny.

The bookies have it neck and neck at 5/6 for both Helen McEntee (FG) and Thomas Byrne (FF).

SF's Darren O’Rourke thinks we're all loons and that the "strong feedback" his party have is that this is a neck and neck race between him and Byrne. Let's all remember that when the final numbers are in. It sounds delusional on the face of it to be claiming he's going to have at least tripled SF's single digit result from 2011 by the end of the day.

Byrne getting his odds down that much is really pretty impressive. Not only do FG have the most recent background of 41% of the FPV, they've also got coalition partner Labour's transfers (from the no chancer Eoin Holmes) to fall back on (Lab polled 21% in the last election). A spanner was thrown in the works yesterday though with the Labour party on the ground not making the right noises about transfers.

McEntee Sr was a 2 term TD, FG are still top in the national polls, the party(should) just have to consolidate the 62% FPV available to them in order to win as FF may still have transfer issues. Like Crawley in the UK, anything less than a win for FG today would be seen as a major blow.

A win for FF would be a huge boost to Martin, a single digit polling for Labour (Halving it's FPV from 2011) will call for a rethink on the way they're working in govt. A loss would also be a blow for Kenny who's been on the ground actively pushing hard for this. On the flip side of course, a win for FG will just lead to people saying "Well they were expected to weren't they?"

FF and Fine Gael vying for top spot in Meath East byelection - Political News | Irish & International Politics | The Irish Times - Wed, Mar 27, 2013
By-election gets bitter as Labour attacks Taoiseach - Independent.ie
 


Tawdy

Well-known member
Joined
Sep 4, 2011
Messages
4,532
The big day is here and voters in Kells go to the polls in an effort to replace FG TD Shane McEntee who passed away in 2012. McEntee garnered 20% of the first preference vote and FG over all closed with 41% of the FPV. This was a reversal from the 2007 vote which saw FF take 43% of the FPV

For some unknown reason there have been no decent polls run in the area, so we can't get into the fascinating discussion on the differences in voting patterns in Kilmore and Trohanny.

The bookies have it neck and neck at 5/6 for both Helen McEntee (FG) and Thomas Byrne (FF).

SF's Darren O’Rourke thinks we're all loons and that the "strong feedback" his party have is that this is a neck and neck race between him and Byrne. Let's all remember that when the final numbers are in. It sounds delusional on the face of it to be claiming he's going to have at least tripled SF's single digit result from 2011 by the end of the day.

Byrne getting his odds down that much is really pretty impressive. Not only do FG have the most recent background of 41% of the FPV, they've also got coalition partner Labour's transfers (from the no chancer Eoin Holmes) to fall back on (Lab polled 21% in the last election). A spanner was thrown in the works yesterday though with the Labour party on the ground not making the right noises about transfers.

McEntee Sr was a 2 term TD, FG are still top in the national polls, the party(should) just have to consolidate the 62% FPV available to them in order to win as FF may still have transfer issues. Like Crawley in the UK, anything less than a win for FG today would be seen as a major blow.

A win for FF would be a huge boost to Martin, a single digit polling for Labour (Halving it's FPV from 2011) will call for a rethink on the way they're working in govt. A loss would also be a blow for Kenny who's been on the ground actively pushing hard for this. On the flip side of course, a win for FG will just lead to people saying "Well they were expected to weren't they?"

FF and Fine Gael vying for top spot in Meath East byelection - Political News | Irish & International Politics | The Irish Times - Wed, Mar 27, 2013
By-election gets bitter as Labour attacks Taoiseach - Independent.ie


1st bold. Are you showing your bias here sink? Kells is not all of the constituency. :roll:

2nd bold. He committed suicide, he did not pass away anywhere. Those stupid euphemisms will get you nowhere.
 

Ribeye

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Joined
Jul 12, 2011
Messages
26,304
Vote Ben Gilroy,

Let's shake things up a bit,

Cyprus is your future unless things change dramatically,
 

RichardCameron

Well-known member
Joined
Mar 27, 2012
Messages
367
Shake things up by voting for a Christian Solidarity Party and Freeman front organisation - only in Ireland
 

Sync

Well-known member
Joined
Aug 27, 2009
Messages
28,765
Vote Ben Gilroy,

Let's shake things up a bit,
I'm really surprised someone with a bit of profile didn't stand on a heavy anti-austerity ticket to try and make this a referendum on the govt's actions. I think the makeup of the constituency is against it, but timing wise, if someone had been giving hell and brimstone speechs against the EU in the build up to this, the current Cyprus situation could have really helped.
 

williewatch

Well-known member
Joined
Sep 30, 2009
Messages
3,122
Poor opening post. Send this thread to the zoo and let someone else start a decent thread on this topic.

Here sync....just to soften your FF cough :)

Listen as your candidate endorses Bertie Ahern and gets endorsed by Bertie in return :)

[video=youtube;juF2shPwKZQ]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=juF2shPwKZQ[/video]
 
Last edited:

Ribeye

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Joined
Jul 12, 2011
Messages
26,304
Cyprus is our present!!
Not quite, if they don't open the banks torrmorriw, it'll be Monday Tuesday at the earliest,,

And the banks won't open tomorrow,

Cyprus is fast approaching shortages of fuel and food,

We ain't there, yet,
 

Sync

Well-known member
Joined
Aug 27, 2009
Messages
28,765
Poor opening post. Send this thread to the zoo and let someone else start a decent thread on this topic.
Which part do you disagree with?
1. An FF win would be a huge boost to Martin?
2. An FG loss would be a blow to the party and Kenny?
3. A single digit Labour performance will call for changes in thinking?
4. Poll-free belief that SF are going to at least triple their FPV and that they're not competing against FG is fanciful at best?
 

Ribeye

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Joined
Jul 12, 2011
Messages
26,304
I'm really surprised someone with a bit of profile didn't stand on a heavy anti-austerity ticket to try and make this a referendum on the govt's actions. I think the makeup of the constituency is against it, but timing wise, if someone had been giving hell and brimstone speechs against the EU in the build up to this, the current Cyprus situation could have really helped.
Anti EU is the key, it will be the fastest growing political movement across all of Europe in the next few years,

Watch UKIP in the SouthShields seat that Millipod the Elder just bailed out of,
 

jmcc

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Joined
Jun 12, 2004
Messages
42,438
2. An FG loss would be a blow to the party and Kenny?
Not a fatal blow - at least to FG. However it could possibly be a fatal blow to the government in the next few months.

3. A single digit Labour performance will call for changes in thinking?
It may result in the accelerated deletion of Gilmore and a few of the others as Labour backbenchers are faced with a possible future electoral obliteration and the loss of their own seats. A low poll result could even have some Labourites contemplating leaving government.

It would seem that it is far more important for Stickies Nua/Labour that FG wins. (Phase of the Moon speculation of course but it will be interesting to watch the results.)
 

MacO'velli

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Joined
May 25, 2007
Messages
5,042
I detect a pro-Kells bias here, what about nobber?? Do they say what ever way way nobber goes, so goes Meath east???
 

georgepig

Active member
Joined
Sep 2, 2010
Messages
175
I'm really surprised someone with a bit of profile didn't stand on a heavy anti-austerity ticket to try and make this a referendum on the govt's actions. I think the makeup of the constituency is against it, but timing wise, if someone had been giving hell and brimstone speechs against the EU in the build up to this, the current Cyprus situation could have really helped.
it is a referendum on the govt...if mcentee gets in, then clearly the people of ME are happy enough
 

Ribeye

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Joined
Jul 12, 2011
Messages
26,304
it is a referendum on the govt...if mcentee gets in, then clearly the people of ME are happy enough
Apparently she's 26,

She never said,
 

greengoose2

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Joined
May 30, 2009
Messages
25,401
Which part do you disagree with?
1. An FF win would be a huge boost to Martin?
2. An FG loss would be a blow to the party and Kenny?
3. A single digit Labour performance will call for changes in thinking?
4. Poll-free belief that SF are going to at least triple their FPV and that they're not competing against FG is fanciful at best?
Let's see now...

The thread title suggests that we discuss:

Meath East Polling day coverage and results.

You start your OP with opinions and links which seems to irritate some people here and rightly so. Your thread was already derailed directly after your opener for this reason.

Now the mods zoo badly constructed threads and as a mod yourself, you should be more aware of this! This one shows the lack of quality in your own offerings.
 

owedtojoy

Well-known member
Joined
Feb 27, 2010
Messages
45,994
Heavy snowfall in Meath today.

Someone must have been praying for it.
 

GDPR

1
Joined
Jul 5, 2008
Messages
222,963
Let's see now...

The thread title suggests that we discuss:

Meath East Polling day coverage and results.

You start your OP with opinions and links which seems to irritate some people here and rightly so. Your thread was already derailed directly after your opener for this reason.

Now the mods zoo badly constructed threads and as a mod yourself, you should be more aware of this! This one shows the lack of quality in your own offerings.
I don't agree that sync suffers from a lack of quality, imo, he suffers from a lack of sense and the idea, from earlier in the thread, that he has a FF bias made me spill my bloody tea, thanks very much for that.
 

commonman

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Joined
May 29, 2010
Messages
5,360
After saying on here that i was not going to vote, i did !! I give 1 Ben Gilroy Direct Democracyv and 2 Darren O Rourke.Sinn Fein.
 

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