- Apr 19, 2020
No chance. The Ulster Covenant guaranteed violence no matter what especially after Home Rule was passed in 1914. According to old documents, Edward Carson received word from UVF commanders in Enniskillen would start committing ethnic cleansing of Fermanagh and Tyrone if they opted for Home Rule since they had Catholic majorities.The reality is that no one really knows whether 1916 was even necessary. If it had not happened would the subsequent WOI have happened? Would there have been a peaceful transfer of power wit a similar partition but without a civil war? No one knows. 1916 is certainly up for debate, like it should be in any country that takes democracy seriously.
So if there was no Easter Rising then Home Rule would probably come to pass and a different type of civil war would've happened.