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Midlands-Northwest EU Constituency: Discussion & Predictions



rockofcashel

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The problem with people thinking Casey, or Mc Hugh even, will win Dail seats, is that come Dail election time they'll be up against different beasts.. Mc Hugh might win a load of votes in Mayo as "the local girl", but wait till shes trying to win a vote off Michael Ring
 

Dame_Enda

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Independents won 20% of the local election vote. Historically, local elections are better harbingers of General Elections than Euro elections.
 

Wagmore

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I have been saying it for the past two years. The market is there but people are afraid of being called racist and other such nonsense for taking a stand against the madness of the left. Ideally somebody not afraid of political correctness and willing to call a spade a spade. It has gone so bad that I heard of one school amending the words of the nursery rhyme 'old MacDonald had a farm' from 'and on that farm he had a ...' to ' on that farm there was a ...'. The reason given was that farming is done by both sexes and 'old Mac Donald ' could also be about a woman.Absolutely crazy bullshit.
How about a new nursery rhyme about how old MacDonald had his farm confiscated by the Greens because his cows breached their Climate Change No Fart embargo?

Old McDonald lost his farm......ei ei o
And on that farm he had a cow.....ei ei oh no.
With a land grab here and a land grab there
 
Last edited:

Breanainn

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He would, but an Independent TD only has influence to the extent that other parties want their support, so FG and FF would sooner do business with the Independent Alliance and the Rural Independents than Casey.
 

Dame_Enda

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He would, but an Independent TD only has influence to the extent that other parties want their support, so FG and FF would sooner do business with the Independent Alliance and the Rural Independents than Casey.
Mick Wallace had a lot of influence as the firings and resignations at the Dept of Justice and AGS on foot of his revelations about issues like the penalty points scandal show.
 

ireallyshouldknowbetter

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The problem with people thinking Casey, or Mc Hugh even, will win Dail seats, is that come Dail election time they'll be up against different beasts.. Mc Hugh might win a load of votes in Mayo as "the local girl", but wait till shes trying to win a vote off Michael Ring
She'll have to prise it from his cold dead hands.
 

Cdebru

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I have been saying it for the past two years. The market is there but people are afraid of being called racist and other such nonsense for taking a stand against the madness of the left. Ideally somebody not afraid of political correctness and willing to call a spade a spade. It has gone so bad that I heard of one school amending the words of the nursery rhyme 'old MacDonald had a farm' from 'and on that farm he had a ...' to ' on that farm there was a ...'. The reason given was that farming is done by both sexes and 'old Mac Donald ' could also be about a woman.Absolutely crazy bullshit.
Amazing what you snow flakes get upset about, you think a nursery rhyme being degendered is upsetting πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚
 

locke

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Independents won 20% of the local election vote. Historically, local elections are better harbingers of General Elections than Euro elections.
Donegal already has a popular and less divisive Independent.

While I appreciate he had a period of ill-health a while ago, I haven't heard he isn't standing and he appears to have returned to full political activity.

One thing a Casey candidacy could do is split the Independent vote and see Donegal return either FF2 SF2 FG1 or less likely FF2 FG2 SF1.
 

wombat

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Smith eliminated, 70,000 to distribute with no FFer left. Expect Carthy to get a decent chunk. Casey 26,000 behind Walsh, can't see him getting that from FF.
 

TaxingTimes

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Less than 1250 votes separated Casey and Smith. Any indication where Casey's votes would have gone if Smith has passed him out. Surely not enough for Smith to get back into it.
 

sic transit

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Less than 1250 votes separated Casey and Smith. Any indication where Casey's votes would have gone if Smith has passed him out. Surely not enough for Smith to get back into it.
Ming said he would have passed the quota if Smith had passed Casey and in sample tallies he had Casey on 3% from Smith.
 

jmcc

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Smith eliminated, 70,000 to distribute with no FFer left. Expect Carthy to get a decent chunk. Casey 26,000 behind Walsh, can't see him getting that from FF.
There is a whiff of Fianna Failness from Casey though. Amazing he is still in the race though. Did any of the commentariat expect this?
 

sic transit

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There is a whiff of Fianna Failness from Casey though. Amazing he is still in the race though. Did any of the commentariat expect this?
Yes they did. Smith was the only one who could have troubled him and he was a bit of a disaster in votes. Casey has been as transfer toxic as Carthy.
 

sic transit

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Smith eliminated, 70,000 to distribute with no FFer left. Expect Carthy to get a decent chunk. Casey 26,000 behind Walsh, can't see him getting that from FF.
Could be a lot of non-transferable votes as well.
 

sic transit

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