I'd love to see Dean M win but I think it's a little too early for him. FF and FG to win one each, Smith should take Ryans seat and the Greens will retain the seat from the by-election and I think O'Reill will do enough though she is vulnerable, SF had a terrible local election here.LE %'s (approx):- FF 18%; FG 13%; SF 7%; Lab 17%; Green 10%; Oths 34%.
Byelection:- FF 18%; FG 15%; SF 5%; Lab 15%; Green 23%; Inds4Change 10%.
Seems to me the most likely result here is 1-all between FF, FG, Lab, the Greens and Dean Mulligan from Clare Daly's I4C outfit.
Duncan Smith looks likely to retain Brendan Ryan's Lab seat. The lingering doubt is whether FG will retain their seat given Alan Farrell's obvious drawbacks, and whether SF could hold on in a GE with an incumbent TD in the race. There will be some transfers from the SD's who got 4% in the byelection, and also probably a Green surplus. You would expect these to favour Lab and Mulligan over SF, but you never know.
FF 1 FG 1 Lab 1 Green 1 Oths 1 (I4C)