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I can't see this happening tbh ... I can assure you there are plenty die hard FFers in CNW as there have always beenThere must be horrendous figures coming out of polls for FF if they are losing seats in places like that
Coughlan gave it a good run at the time of the Spring tide in 1992 plus it is now more urban with the Ballincollig area in North West. It is plausible that they could win a seat on current national polling.Just had a look at the constituency result from 2007 on ElectionsIreland. So FG should get two seats going and Labour one? But Labour only got 4.9% of the vote in 2007. I suppose they could at least treble that.
not really credible (much as I'd like it). My spreadsheet has been accused of over-optimism, but the latest poll of polls (totals at Poll of Polls « Irish Polling Report ) it comes out as FF at 37%, FG on 40% and LP on 19%.John Burns from the Sunday Times has just tweeted that a poll says FF would lose ALL its seats in Cork North West and win no seats.
Has anyone seen the Sunday Times yet for details?
That is true. CNW these days is not as it once was having the urban sprawl of Ballincollig now in tow.This is Batt O'Keeffe's constituency as well. It contains Ballincollig which is really suburban Cork so it is not entirely rural.
FF will definitely win one seat in Cork NW. It is conservative and there is a strong loyalty factor there. There is a real FF hard core vote there. Now it might be different in city constituencies.There must be horrendous figures coming out of polls for FF if they are losing seats in places like that
in fairness there's about 29 constituencies I have them over 20%, which would probably be enough for them in a 3-seater.FF will definitely win one seat in Cork NW. It is conservative and there is a strong loyalty factor there. There is a real FF hard core vote there. Now it might be different in city constituencies.
they'll definately lose one seat, but I can't see two going. 1 FF, 1 FG, and last seat between FG and LP.Kelly (Labour) Munster in the Europeans was a surprise....so I do believe that ff will be under pressure in CNW.
People are hurting everywhere and are asking 'Why?'
That is correct. I doubt that Batt O'Keeffe will lose his seat. He has had several years to solidify his position in the constituency. I suspect that a lot of FF people polled are not divulging real voting intentions to pollsters. I can see FF winning at least 36% of the vote nationwide in a general election. Do not discount them.in fairness there's about 29 constituencies I have them over 20%, which would probably be enough for them in a 3-seater.