Poll tracking and a poll of polls



MVOR

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May 7, 2007
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393
It don't change my views, Sinn Fein want to Flood us with cheap labour and drive wages down
Don’t see any truth in this but also wouldn’t completely disagree with the proposal of reducing costs. The minimum wage is something that has done more harm than good in this country. It’s great saying raise it raise it but the reality is that since it came in and with every raise costs of everything have risen so while you earn x% more than before you’re paying x+y% more for everything you buy and paying more in tax so in the end you’re poorer than before and everyone else is also a bit poorer with you because they didn’t get the same increase but are paying more for their purchases too.
 

Baron von Biffo

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May 16, 2007
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16,252
Let’s not get ahead of ourselves, more likely they’ll be in government together again after the election but this time they might actually admit it. They’ll do yet more harm to the rest of us. Then there’ll be another election and with any luck so may old FFFG will have died because of their policies that they’ll be decimated at the next election.

At the minute with RTÉ in their pocket and so many foolish people willing to vote for them, they’ll no doubt scrape the required 50%.
SF really does attract a nice class of supporter.
 

neiphin

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Joined
Aug 23, 2009
Messages
5,642
Don’t see any truth in this but also wouldn’t completely disagree with the proposal of reducing costs. The minimum wage is something that has done more harm than good in this country. It’s great saying raise it raise it but the reality is that since it came in and with every raise costs of everything have risen so while you earn x% more than before you’re paying x+y% more for everything you buy and paying more in tax so in the end you’re poorer than before and everyone else is also a bit poorer with you because they didn’t get the same increase but are paying more for their purchases too.
have you an idea on what the cost has been to you , in % terms ?
 

the secretary

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Joined
Jan 29, 2013
Messages
6,347
Did your grandfather mutiny against the State like Collins's 'Dublin Guard' in 1924, when they realised the true nature of the 'Southern Ireland' State and were duped?
There you go again. 'Southern Ireland' state.
 

SuirView

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Mar 29, 2012
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13,571
SF stated throughout the campaign that they would only go into government as the majority party.
They dogs on the street knew that wouldnt happen.
That is disingenuous if I ever seen it.
Correct,
SF ran 50 candidates in 2016,
FG won 50 seats in 2016!
Did poor SF expect ALL of their 50 candidates to be elected?
Wasters.
 

Dame_Enda

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Dec 14, 2011
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56,580
Donegal poll. Casey on 2% has no chance on these numbers. Big increase in combined SF vote from 27% in 2016 to 39% now. FF down from around 30% to 22%. FG up slightly from 15.5% to 17% for combined vote. Pringle down 1.5% from 8% to 7%.

 
Last edited:

locke

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May 2, 2007
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3,372
Constituency polls normally to be taken with a pinch of salt, especially with no sample number shown

However, TG4's in Donegal last time was actually pretty good. There was a notable overestimation of Pearse Doherty's vote, but there was a significant overperformance by Gary Doherty, Sinn Féin's third candidate, so it could have been party vote management after the poll was taken.

The number in brackets is the actual election result

Charlie McConalogue 17 (17.1)
Pearse Doherty 19 (14.1)
Pat "the Cope" Gallagher 13 (13.9)
Joe McHugh 13 (11.5)
Thomas Pringle 7 (8.5)
Pádraig Mac Lochlainn 9(7.8)
Tim Jackson 3 (4.9)
Dessie Shiels 7 (5.1)
Gary Doherty 2 (5.6)
Paddy Harte, Jnr 4 (3.9)
Niamh Kennedy 2 (2.5)
Frank McBrearty, Jnr 4 (2.6)
Ian McGarvey 2 (1.3)
Paula Flanagan - (0.6)
Michael Mooney - (0.5)
Cordelia Nic Fhearraigh - (0.1)
 

Round tower

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Feb 9, 2011
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7,799
Constituency polls normally to be taken with a pinch of salt, especially with no sample number shown

However, TG4's in Donegal last time was actually pretty good. There was a notable overestimation of Pearse Doherty's vote, but there was a significant overperformance by Gary Doherty, Sinn Féin's third candidate, so it could have been party vote management after the poll was taken.

The number in brackets is the actual election result

Charlie McConalogue 17 (17.1)
Pearse Doherty 19 (14.1)
Pat "the Cope" Gallagher 13 (13.9)
Joe McHugh 13 (11.5)
Thomas Pringle 7 (8.5)
Pádraig Mac Lochlainn 9(7.8)
Tim Jackson 3 (4.9)
Dessie Shiels 7 (5.1)
Gary Doherty 2 (5.6)
Paddy Harte, Jnr 4 (3.9)
Niamh Kennedy 2 (2.5)
Frank McBrearty, Jnr 4 (2.6)
Ian McGarvey 2 (1.3)
Paula Flanagan - (0.6)
Michael Mooney - (0.5)
Cordelia Nic Fhearraigh - (0.1)
The sample size may not be given there but it was given elsewhere, the size was 550 which is not bad for a consticuencey poll comparing to the Sunday Times was less than a 1000 and national ones is usualy around a 1000
 

Dame_Enda

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Dec 14, 2011
Messages
56,580
TG4 Galway West poll expected on Wednesday according to someone on twitter.

I remember one they did in the 2002 campaign which had Noel Grealish on around 7-8%, but he won the seat.
 

Itsalaugh

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Joined
Jul 1, 2013
Messages
3,699
Ff 32
Fg 20
Sf 19
Lab 4
Greens 7
The polls were spot on during the campaign. SF caught the 'change' Zeitgeist' and rose, while the other parties remain static.
Even this Poll 18 January wan't the complete outlyer it now appears as somehow it registeted FF at an incomprehensile 49% in Munster, support levels they last held in the 70s. Discount that and at the commencment of the election campaign FF were at 24, FG 21, SF 20.
 


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