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Poll tracking and a poll of polls


locke

Well-known member
Joined
May 2, 2007
Messages
3,090
I am always distrustful of polls that put Independents up for a couple of reasons. 1) There's no guarantee that there will be a good Independent or even any Independent in any given constituency and 2) it can be a handy bucket to express dissatisfaction with a party, but the vote will return to that party when the campaign gets started.

Still there's something to think about for every party here.

It's only good for Labour, but even for them, they are just getting back to where they were at the last election and that isn't good enough.

FG and SF can't ignore falls of that magnitude as they are a sign of dissatisfaction with the parties, even if supporters aren't willing to jump ship to another party.

FF might be secretly happy as with FG and SF falling by an even greater magnitude, it should be positive from a seats perspective.
 

Mickeymac

Well-known member
Joined
Jun 30, 2010
Messages
38,169
I am always distrustful of polls that put Independents up for a couple of reasons. 1) There's no guarantee that there will be a good Independent or even any Independent in any given constituency and 2) it can be a handy bucket to express dissatisfaction with a party, but the vote will return to that party when the campaign gets started.

Still there's something to think about for every party here.

It's only good for Labour, but even for them, they are just getting back to where they were at the last election and that isn't good enough.

FG and SF can't ignore falls of that magnitude as they are a sign of dissatisfaction with the parties, even if supporters aren't willing to jump ship to another party.

FF might be secretly happy as with FG and SF falling by an even greater magnitude, it should be positive from a seats perspective.


I thought Irish Labor were all washed up.
 

SPN

Well-known member
Joined
Feb 2, 2004
Messages
16,863
No, Irish Labour is resilient and will come back!
For our childrens' sake, let's hope they don't.

We already have a real Fianna Fail.

We don't need a bunch of half assed Amateur FFailures stuck in the trough beside them.
 
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