socialist party to contest limerick city

ymmek

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The sociaist party has announced that they are running a candidate in limerick city.Dont suppose it will make much difference to the outcome but it is good to see the SP get involved in electoral politics in limerick.If nothing else it will show them that winning a dail seat is not as easy as it seem,i wish Cian luck,he will need it but as he is only 21 hes got time on his side.
 


ned green

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Great to see the Socialist Party spreading it's wings,hopefully all 44 constituencies will have Left candidates also.The ordinary people must have the opportunity to vote for an alternative to the cosy middle of the road neocon consensus that passes for politics in this country.
 

TradCat

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If people have any sense they will vote for him and any other extremist they can find. We have nothing to gain but pain if we vote for the European Commissions slate of candidates FF, FG Lab. We need to vote for people who will force them to buy us off or kick us out. Either would do.
 

cricket

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Reckon he could do damage to SF rather than anyone else. BTW , apart from first name of Cian shown above , who is he ? Does he post here ?
 

JoeHickey

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Reckon he could do damage to SF rather than anyone else. BTW , apart from first name of Cian shown above , who is he ? Does he post here ?
If he hurts anyone I'd say it would be Labour, the SP have no base in working class Limerick, They guys name in Cian Prendivelle,
 

williewatch

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Fair Play to them.

I will vote for absolutely anybody but FF at this stage.

Well nearly anybody (forgot about Clr Kiely seeking election :) )
 
R

RepublicanSocialist1798

If he hurts anyone I'd say it would be Labour, the SP have no base in working class Limerick, They guys name in Cian Prendivelle,
He's a UL student. Like the last candidate they ran.

I'd be surprised if he got above 500 votes.
 

gijoe

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Are there any chandaliers in Limerick that he can find for a photo op?
 

ymmek

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Excellent news, gives people more choice and further splits the left vote.
I would not get my hopes up Keith,it looks to me that that there will be a large number of votes to be collected by whoever is top of the "left" pile.Greens SP independents are all going to transfer to SF and Lab, Power and ODonnell to get very little.If Power is next to go his vote will do little to help ODonnell,im hoping Leddin will by then be ahead of Quinlivan and on Quinlivans elimination Leddin gets the last seat,bring it on.
 
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Keith-M

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I would not get my hopes up Keith,it looks to me that that there will be a large number of votes to be collected by whoever is top of the "left" pile.Greens SP independents are all going to transfer to SF and Lab, Power and ODonnell to get very little.If Power is next to go his vote will do little to help ODonnell,im hoping Leddin will by then ahead of Quinlivan and on Quinlivans elimination Leddin gets the last seat,bring it on.
Leddin will be well behind O'Donnell on the first count and behind Power after WOD's surplus is distributed. The only question is if he'll be behind Qunlivan or not I suspect he might be, given MQ's higher local profile and the fact that he is the only SF candidate. However O'Sullivan's transfers might just about get him ahead of MQ. It's hard to tell where MQ's transfers will go, but Labour may get 50% of it, still probably not enough to overtake Power or O'Donnell.
 

Ruaidhri

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I think this is great news. At the moment the Socialist Party is pretty much concentrated in Dublin and to a lesser extent in Cork. In other parts of the country they might have small regional branches but they a certainly not large enough to run candidates. Hopefully this is the start of them going nationwide.

Limerick appears to be a Fine Gael stronghold but there certainly is a left vote there as Labour do well in Limerick and the current mayor of Limerick identifies himself as a Republican Socialist.
 

Keith-M

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Limerick appears to be a Fine Gael stronghold but there certainly is a left vote there as Labour do well in Limerick and the current mayor of Limerick identifies himself as a Republican Socialist.
I don't think anyone has ever fitted so errors into one sentence on p.ie. Limerick is certainly not a FG stronghold when it comes to General Elections and they willl do well to hold their two seats. And here's the current mayor of Limerick.


SHE is about as republican and socialist as she is male.
 

ymmek

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Leddin will be well behind O'Donnell on the first count and behind Power after WOD's surplus is distributed. The only question is if he'll be behind Qunlivan or not I suspect he might be, given MQ's higher local profile and the fact that he is the only SF candidate. However O'Sullivan's transfers might just about get him ahead of MQ. It's hard to tell where MQ's transfers will go, but Labour may get 50% of it, still probably not enough to overtake Power or O'Donnell.
I think you overestimate Powers vote and possibly ODeas.If you are correct its still curtains for Power because ODonnell and Leddin will probably transfer to each other in very large numbers when we are down to the last 3 fighting for the last seat leaving very little for Power.
 

cricket

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" Hopefully this is the start of them going nationwide."
They're now just like Shaws.
 

Limerick Lad

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I don't think anyone has ever fitted so errors into one sentence on p.ie. Limerick is certainly not a FG stronghold when it comes to General Elections and they willl do well to hold their two seats.
Limerick has been a Willie O'Dea stronghold not a Fianna Fail one. FF were a very poor third to Labour in the local elections with FG on 33.69%, Labour 18.24% and FF 12.47%, if those results were to be repeated in a general election without a powerhouse vote getter like O'Dea FF would be struggling to maintain a seat in Limerick.
Power will struggle badly to stay in the race as Willie will put all his efforts into maintaining his high first preference share even if it means sacrificing the possibility of helping Power stay ahead of Labour's proposed second candidate or O'Dea's nemesis SF's Maurice Quinlivan.
 

Keith-M

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Limerick has been a Willie O'Dea stronghold not a Fianna Fail one. FF were a very poor third to Labour in the local elections with FG on 33.69%, Labour 18.24% and FF 12.47%, if those results were to be repeated in a general election without a powerhouse vote getter like O'Dea FF would be struggling to maintain a seat in Limerick.
Except of course anyone with an iota of common sense knows they won't be. In the 2004 local elections, FF got <16% of the vote in the city. In the 2007 GE (which includes part of the county) FF got 49% of the vote, so there is absolutly NO corelation between the FF vote for the bunch of halfwits they put on the ticket for the council compared with what Willie & co. can pull out at a general election.

Power will struggle badly to stay in the race as Willie will put all his efforts into maintaining his high first preference share even if it means sacrificing the possibility of helping Power stay ahead of Labour's proposed second candidate or O'Dea's nemesis SF's Maurice Quinlivan.
WOD is safe. There is no incentive for him to coral all the votes for himself. This time his skills weill be measured on whether he can bring in a running mate. FF will still gain more votes than Labour (by a considerable margin), so Willie's surplus will keep Power ahead of Leddin. The only question is whether Leddin is ahead or behind Quinlivan. Right now, I'm not calling that one, though my hunch is that being the only SF candidate and having a higher public profile will help MQ.
 


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