- Dec 29, 2013
In my other post with regard to the new government, I've focused on the meaning of the use of confidence and supply in the establishment of the current government and what such arrangements might mean. In this post I now am questioning what the resulting effects will be in terms of political blocs emerging in the new dail.A political alliance, also referred to as a political coalition, political bloc, is an agreement for cooperation between different political parties on common political agenda, often for purposes of contesting an election to mutually benefit by collectively clearing election thresholds, or otherwise benefiting from characteristics of the voting system or for government formation after elections.
I know FF are desperately trying to have their cake and eat it as they return Enda to power, but even outside an actual coalition, FF/FG and select allsorts now represent a political "bloc" in that they now support each other in opposition to everyone outside their bloc.
There's a very blithe and lazy assumption that the current poll numbers will return to business as usual in that we will return to a majority government in the near future, but this hasn't been the case in New Zealand since the introduction of PR, and Canada went through an entire decade before the liberals only barely got a majority last year.
In anticipation of this, Irish political parties now have an onus to form blocs before an election as opposed to after so that the electorate can best vote not only for the party, but for the combination of government they would like to see after election and so that government formation won't take ten weeks as it has with the current farce.
Interestingly, this now presents a challenge to the broader left, unite around opposition to the new FF/FG/Allsorts bloc or fail to maximise their position in opposition leading up to the next election. It's kind of hilarious to see the Green's choosing to abstain in support of the new governing bloc.
Who do you think will be the new winners and losers in the new political landscape?