The turn-out thread

Breanainn

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As bad as turn-out has been in recent Irish GEs, the trend north of the border appears to be worse again, with almost 70% voting in 1998, falling to 63% in 2003, 62% in 2007, and a mere 55% five years ago. The question on this occasion appears to be whether the 50% bar will be cleared, whether constituencies vary in the extent of participation, and if voter apathy will vary significantly between unionist and nationalist areas. Other factors worth considering are the age profile of likely voters and the class demographic, common in their importance to Southern elections.
 
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automaticforthepeople

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I'd say it was Arlene's Five Point Plan that really whipped up such levels of apathy that previous party leaders in past elections could only just aspire to.
 

mr_anderson

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As bad as turn-out has been in recent Irish GEs, the trend north of the border appears to be worse again, with almost 70% voting in 1998, falling to 63% in 2003, 62% in 2007, and a mere 55% five years ago. The question on this occasion appears to be whether the 50% bar will be cleared, whether constituencies vary in the extent of participation, and if voter apathy will vary significantly between unionist and nationalist areas. Other factors worth considering are the age profile of likely voters and the class demographic, common in their importance to Southern elections.
Ironically enough, this is probably a good thing.
It means there's a transitioning to normality.
Too many voters turned out just to support 'their side' rather than actual issues.
 

Belfastdan

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Ironically enough, this is probably a good thing.
It means there's a transitioning to normality.
Too many voters turned out just to support 'their side' rather than actual issues.
No it just means that those committed enough to vote will decide who gets into office while those who don't will spend the next few years complaining about politicians that they had the power to prevent being elected.
Voting should be made compulsory. People made real sacrifices to achieve a fair voting system just for others to sit on their arses and do nothing.
 

Truth.ie

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I'd say it was Arlene's Five Point Plan that really whipped up such levels of apathy that previous party leaders in past elections could only just aspire to.
37% turnout in West Belfast Westminster election 2011.

For some perspective it was 74% turnout in Syria in 2014. During a total war.
 

drummed

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37% turnout in West Belfast Westminster election 2011.

For some perspective it was 74% turnout in Syria in 2014. During a total war.
That despite the fact that at least 40% of voters were dead or in another country? Interesting.
 

Truth.ie

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That despite the fact that at least 40% of voters were dead or in another country? Interesting.
Syrians abroad have full voting rights.
Dead people are not accounted for when calculating turnouts.
They must have registered previously in order to calculate the turnout.
You do know this don't you.
 

drummed

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Syrians abroad have full voting rights.
Dead people are not accounted for when calculating turnouts.
They must have registered previously in order to calculate the turnout.
You do know this don't you.
I now about 70% of the country was under IS or other forces control so no voting took place there. It was the least credible vote since Spain won the Eurovision for Franco back in the day.
 

Truth.ie

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I now about 70% of the country was under IS or other forces control so no voting took place there. It was the least credible vote since Spain won the Eurovision for Franco back in the day.
The big population centres are in the West and coastal areas.
ISIS controls mostly the wastelands and deserts in the East.
I'm leaving it at that now for fear of derailing the thread which is about voting apathy in the North.
 

tsarbomb

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Turnout was very high in the former communist bloc for the decade after the Berlin wall came down but its down to single digits in some countries these days. People in a lot of countries don't vote as much because they realize that it won't change much. The representative democracy model means that there will be always loads of compromises and flip flopping on key issues so who you vote for isn't really important.
 

automaticforthepeople

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I reckon the turnout in the NI Assembly elections will be around 52-53%.
This level of disconnect rivals that in the USA at Presidential Election time. However in a country the size of the US with a population of 300 Million people, one could be forgiven for feeling remote from a President who may live 4 time zones away and in the case of California may have been elected by a landslide long before you come home from work by states on the east coast.
Northern politicians have no such excuse.
 

A REASON

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Why the ************************ would you vote? Not a difference it would make. 2 rotten states.
 

peader odonnell

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Syrians abroad have full voting rights.
Dead people are not accounted for when calculating turnouts.
They must have registered previously in order to calculate the turnout.
You do know this don't you.
So our new intake will vote at the Syrian Embassy here.
 

Patrick Ronayne

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Turnout by constituency in the NI Assembly elections:

■ Foyle 40,187 (turnout 56%)
■ East Londonderry 34,848 (turnout 50.79%)
■ Mid Ulster 41,381 (turnout 58.75%)
■ Belfast North 37,193 (turnout 52.48%)
■ Belfast East 37,623 (turnout 57.23%)
■ Belfast South 37,147 (turnout 54.25%)
■ Belfast West 36,990 (turnout 57.80%)
■ North Antrim 41,464 (turnout 52.93%)
■ East Antrim 32,744 (turnout 51%)
■ South Antrim 35,544 (turnout 51%)
■ Strangford 33,014 (turnout 50.25%)
■ North Down 32,597 (turnout 49.57%)
■ South Down 41,645 (turnout 53.8%)
■ West Tyrone 39,325 (turnout 59.86%)
■ Fermanagh & South Tyrone 47,934 (turnout 64.55%)
■ Lagan Valley 39,227 (turnout 53.19%)
■ Upper Bann 46,383 (turnout 54.44%)
■ Newry and Armagh 48,498 (turnout 59.32%)​

In general terms, turnout in eastern constituencies has increased compared to 2011, but dropped in western constituencies.
 


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