- Mar 3, 2004
Actually sufficient/necessary conditions are entirely relevant. I don’t need to ‘embrace’ the idea of Biden losing - any Dem will be on the back foot against an incumbent with a strong economy - Trump is more likely than not to win, though he’s not so much a certainty as some of his cult here like to believe.Leave the cake alone, Livingstone. Try logic.
Embrace the idea that Biden might lose against Trump. OK?
Now, with this thought firmly in your head, try saying to yourself
If the Economy is good, it will require Biden to beat him.
You feel foolish, right? Because by identifying the unfavourable circumstance and nevertheless projecting Biden as a winner, you cannot simultaneously embrace the idea that he can lose.
The very essence of Jack's proposition is that Biden wins in adverse circumstances.
That is what he said when he also said that the Dems could afford to run a progressive if the economy was bad.
Sufficient/necessary doesn't come into it.
Now with that firmly in mind, it is entirely consistent to say it will take Biden to bear him. That statement doesn’t project Biden’s victory - it claims that Biden being the nominee is a necessary condition to beat Trump. It does not flow, logically, that Biden being the nominee is a sufficient condition.