I agree, Drennan's prediction is wrong on this one. It is clear he didn't do too much research. My guess going off the figures is that Coffey is favourite to gain an extra seat for FG.Drennan on todays Sindo predicts:-
1 Fine Gael
1 Fianna Fail
As this stage I cant see that prediciton being correct, in my opinion it will be one of the following:-
That's exactly what I would have thought- if labour are to capitalise then they need to make gains or at least be in running for 2nd seats in places like WaterfordThe decision is nuts.
I hear there are some unhappy people locally and are making it known.
Halligan is running as an Independent. Cant see him get in as a previous poster says, he has too much ground to make up. he will poll well in the city but will fall down badly in the county. He needs between 5,500-6k 1st pref to have any chance and besides he will be up against Lab, WP and ULA for the Left vote in Waterford.Yes and i would have thought that long termism would necessitate this
O shea will go after the next GE (after Lab are in gov and have introduced a 3/4/5 yeat austerity plan) this would mean Lab trying to get an unknown to get a seat in waterford
I would say o shea is relatively safe so even running a candidate just to get his/her name out there for next time out wouldnt hurt lab and if selection was good could pull off two however i would see the most likely outcome here as
2 FG with Coffie being the PD of Waterford constantly pushing for the bye election and getting decent coverage as he is the only confirmed candidate
1 Lab O shea
Last between Lab 2 if they ran 1 FF and indo (Halligan)
is halligan running under the ULA or as an indo?