What Odds On A FF-SF Govt on Easter Monday 2016?

SlickWilly

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Thinking about accepting a 1k bet in euro equivalent with a mate, who says it cannot happen by this iconic aniversary date! Actually, the Shinners may well also be the largest party in the NI assembly by this time!
My main reasoning is the gulibility of the Irish electorate and the inevitability that the upcomming FG-LAB coalition will be very similar to the 82-87 coalition, except that the situation they are facing into will be vastly worse! BTW in Galway city local council politics the blueshirts seriously shafted the fake socialists and as a consequence there's a massive hatred between them here!
 


Cabbage/Turnip

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Thinking about accepting a 1k bet in euro equivalent with a mate, who says it cannot happen by this iconic aniversary date! Actually, the Shinners may well also be the largest party in the NI assembly by this time!
My main reasoning is the gulibility of the Irish electorate and the inevitability that the upcomming FG-LAB coalition will be very similar to the 82-87 coalition, except that the situation they are facing into will be vastly worse! BTW in Galway city local council politics the blueshirts seriously shafted the fake socialists and as a consequence there's a massive hatred between them here!
oh what happened there didnt hear a thing?
 

picador

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Fianna Fáil should never be in government again fullstop
 

Broke

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Fianna Fáil should never be in government again fullstop
SF would be mad to go into goverment with FF any time in the future.FF need at least ten years out of office to teach them a lesson after what they have done to this country.
 

SlickWilly

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Picador,
unfortunately there's a massive difference in the logical as you have suggested and the idiotic nature of the Irish electorate!
 

QuizMaster

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I couldn't see them having a majority by then.
I think SF will do well this time, because of the outrage. But long term, nah.
Fianna Fail might break up after the next election with some members joining the government in some guise and/or a new party setting up, with the rump FF settling down as a niche party for conservative rural Ireland, with an ageing support base.
 
D

Duth Ealla

Change the thread title

Should that not be a SF-FF govt.

Dont see it happening now or then even with FF as junior partners. Fianna Fail shouldnt see office again.
 

Venceremos

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memories are short. A few years ago, Adams was trumpeting a FF alliance as the future, and a few years before that they was tell international media that SF 'could not accept' a non-FF Government (the only story CNN etc. were interested in about an Irish election).
 

Sync

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Nah. Whatever about an FF fightback after the upcoming hammering, what's going to change for SF in the next 5 years? They've moved from 1 seat to 5 to 4. They'd need to be getting at least 10 seats to be relevant for discussion due to the historical issues that exist. That means polling in at around 12%. SF are not going to poll in at 12% in the next 5 years.

There's historical basis to believe that FF will make an extremely strong showing in 2016. There's no basis whatsoever to think A: They'll throw in with SF or B: That SF would be significant enough to be worth throwing in with.
 

sport02

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If you were to sum up FF goverence in recent years to driving a car, they would be done for wreckless driving and banned for life.
 

red-devil

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Wouldn't surprise me, but my reason wouldn't have nothing to do with ''idiotic nature''of the electorate, it would be more based on fact and the two faced of SF, they come across real caring and understanding, but don't let that fool you when some of their members are still involved in every under-hand ************************e. I don't believe that the likes of kelly and O'snuglug don't know whats going on, the day that shower get into power is the day this country will see what SF real agenda is
 

Anglo Celt

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Fianna Fáil should never be in government again fullstop
But we know they will be. Not in the next government, but they'll form the government after that. You could bet your house on it.
 

Nobber Man

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Thinking about accepting a 1k bet in euro equivalent with a mate, who says it cannot happen by this iconic aniversary date! Actually, the Shinners may well also be the largest party in the NI assembly by this time!
My main reasoning is the gulibility of the Irish electorate and the inevitability that the upcomming FG-LAB coalition will be very similar to the 82-87 coalition, except that the situation they are facing into will be vastly worse! BTW in Galway city local council politics the blueshirts seriously shafted the fake socialists and as a consequence there's a massive hatred between them here!
I think it's a good probability. If FF proffered the Shinners the post of Minister for Defence, the lads would nearly chew their hand off to accept. The resonance of a SF Minister for Defence taking the salute outside the GPO would be just too hard to resist.

It could be a combination of FF, SF, Independents.
 

endajo

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Nah. Whatever about an FF fightback after the upcoming hammering, what's going to change for SF in the next 5 years? They've moved from 1 seat to 5 to 4. They'd need to be getting at least 10 seats to be relevant for discussion due to the historical issues that exist. That means polling in at around 12%. SF are not going to poll in at 12% in the next 5 years.
? SF could easily poll 12% in the next few months and 10 seats is a distinct possibility.

There's historical basis to believe that FF will make an extremely strong showing in 2016.
Watchutalkin'bout Willis? Why would history favour FF (who didn't even exist in 1916) over SF?
 

SinnShane

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25/1

Don't think FF and SF combined will have over 80 TDs within five years.

Having brought in the IMF I don't the state will be subjected to a FF taoiseach again.
 

Sync

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Watchutalkin'bout Willis? Why would history favour FF (who didn't even exist in 1916) over SF?
:roll: People aren't going to vote for a specific party because it's an anniversary year. Every time FF have been out of power in this country, they've been returned at the first available opportunity. Now that mightn't happen in 2016, but it would be foolish to think that they're not going reverse at least at 50% of their losses by then.
 

ruamruam

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:roll: People aren't going to vote for a specific party because it's an anniversary year. Every time FF have been out of power in this country, they've been returned at the first available opportunity. Now that mightn't happen in 2016, but it would be foolish to think that they're not going reverse at least at 50% of their losses by then.
The game has changed now. Nothing is going to be the same again.
 


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