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WICKLOW - candidates for next general election


Craiced

Active member
Joined
Nov 20, 2007
Messages
299
Before we get into predictions and the like, let's just find the lie of the land first. Wicklow has a very uncertain ticket.

Anybody know who is running for the next general election?

Fianna Fail 2 or 3 candidate strategy?
1. Pat Fitzgerald (Arklow)
2. Dick Roche TD (Greystones)??
3. .......

Fine Gael 3 candidate strategy.
1. Billy Timmons TD(West Wicklow)
2. Andrew Doyle TD(East Wicklow)
3. Simon Harris (Greystones)

Labour 2 or 3 candidate strategy.
1. Liz McManus TD (Bray)??
2. Jimmy O'Shaughnessy (East Wicklow)
3. ................ (Arklow)

Sinn Fein single candidate strategy.
John Brady (Bray)

Greens single candidate strategy.
1. Deirdre De Burca / Ciaran O'Brien / Pat Kavanagh??

Others multiple randomers
1. Jim Tallon. (expect a new swish you-tube video akin to Sean "Smokey" Smullen)
2. ............. People before Profit
3. .............. Socialist Party?
4. Joe Behan TD (Bray)??
5. Some persecuted soul with a chip on their shoulder from the ranks of Fianna Fail
 


Joined
Feb 11, 2008
Messages
53
For FF it'll most likely be Dick Roche and Pat Fitzgerald
 

disgruntledcitizen

Well-known member
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Jul 19, 2009
Messages
405
if i have one wish from the next GE results in Wicklow its that Roche gets the boot, after that i can probably deal with any other outcome
 

Craiced

Active member
Joined
Nov 20, 2007
Messages
299
Has Adrian O Reilly (ex sf arklow) joined Eirigi? you never know they might run him
Anything to damage Sinn Feins prospects maybe. Wicklow People reported that O'Reilly was putting up Eirigi "no to Lisbon" posters in Arklow. Sinn Fein have a fighting chance of a seat next time if other partys run multiple candidate strategys. Local elections 2009 showed that Sinn Fein are eating into Labours vote in working class areas.

Wicklow traditionally has strong left wing vote and the left used to have 2 seats in this 5 seater (1992 Democratic Left and Labour).

However Sinn Fein have no base in Arklow yet so ambitions of a Dail seat are out of reach. I put John Brady on 6,000 votes.(9% of vote) That would be good performance.
 
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disgruntledcitizen

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Jul 19, 2009
Messages
405
personally hoping that FG pick up a third in the form of Harris, impressive young man. As for Brady, don't see him picking up the additional support he needs to get over the line,

expect 1 FF, 2-3 FG, 1-2 Lab possibly 1 ind if Behan can hold on and put more distance between himself and FF
 

McEavelli

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Dec 10, 2008
Messages
295
personally hoping that FG pick up a third in the form of Harris, impressive young man. As for Brady, don't see him picking up the additional support he needs to get over the line,

expect 1 FF, 2-3 FG, 1-2 Lab possibly 1 ind if Behan can hold on and put more distance between himself and FF
FF could run a 3 candidate strategy with a wildcard as the 3rd. Hard to see them getting more than one seat though.
 
Joined
Feb 8, 2009
Messages
26
Behan will run as a Pseudo Ind FF and romp home.

FG will run Doyle Harris Timmons. Will hold 2 seats but will not win 3. Harris will poll well in Greystones, difficult to see him getting a large enough vote in Bray.

FF - Roche, and probably Fitzgerald. Their vote held up surprisingly well in South Wicklow in the LE. Fitzgerald not exactly in the first flush of youth but polled very well last time as a lowly counciller.

Lab - a little caution needed here, probably the ageing McManus and Conal Kavanagh. One Seat. McManus will only run if she thinks she'll get a jobeen when the spoils are being divvied up.
 

The Wicklow Patriot

Active member
Joined
Apr 26, 2009
Messages
183
Arklow

I believe o Reilly is floating around Eirigi shows how low they will go to take someone of his caliber. I also heard his cronies that helped in his campaign have turned there back on him after only getting 100 votes shows what the people of Arklow think of him!
 

DaveM

Well-known member
Joined
Sep 16, 2010
Messages
16,028
Behan will run as a Pseudo Ind FF and romp home.
Apparently he is doubtful whether he'll run at all next time out. Apparently he's completely disillusioned with both FF and life as an impotent backbencher / independent.

As to the poster who thinks SF will pick up a seat... no chance. 2 FG, 1 FF, 1 Labour and a dog fight between all three for the final seat.
 

wolfie

New member
Joined
Sep 4, 2006
Messages
1
I believe o Reilly is floating around Eirigi shows how low they will go to take someone of his caliber. I also heard his cronies that helped in his campaign have turned there back on him after only getting 100 votes shows what the people of Arklow think of him!
Wicklow psf have some neck talking about caliber, I hear j doyle is on the wagon HA HA [ame="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LO2DsQ9eJ2U"]YouTube - Drunkin Shinner[/ame]
 

Craiced

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Joined
Nov 20, 2007
Messages
299
Apparently he is doubtful whether he'll run at all next time out. Apparently he's completely disillusioned with both FF and life as an impotent backbencher / independent.

As to the poster who thinks SF will pick up a seat... no chance. 2 FG, 1 FF, 1 Labour and a dog fight between all three for the final seat.
Labour to get two seats possibly? Who is their second candidate with a half a chance of getting a seat.

Behan will run and i tip Behan to take the seat. If Behan does not run FF will take 2 seats with a 2 seat strategy.
 
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Voter1

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Joined
Jun 9, 2009
Messages
2
Wicklow will be (FF) 1, (Lab) 1, (FG) 3, as it stands.
There could be an Ind seat for Behan at the expence of a FG most likely Harris or Doyle but not both.

It is hard to imagine no FF seat but the effect of National issues and the Behan effect will change things.

Certainly in Bray & Arklow FG vote was poor but they did get the seats.
 
Joined
May 22, 2009
Messages
55
So, after shipping Dick Roche off to Europe, who do you think will stand in the north of the county? David Grant?
 
S

Shadow

Very good reasoning..."Craiced" Yes for sure, the last seat could be very close. The candidate selection seems very realistic also... Behan will run for sure.....despite talk to the contrary around the time of the Council Elections....Labour sitting on the fence will suit FG........
 

oakman

Member
Joined
Jan 4, 2007
Messages
30
So Dick Roche to be a Minister!!! god help us. Whats the rumors at the moment

FF to run 2 Roche and Fitzgearld
FG to run 4 !
Joe behen still diddering
Lady Mcmanus resisting any real 2nd contender
any other runners?
 

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